Thursday, November 08, 2012

Wednesday, November 07, 2012

All Things Must End

And thus ends my winning streak of voting for the winning presidential candidate.  Every election since 1996 (for some reason I didn't vote in 1992 - bad citizen).  I knew it was a longshot for Romney to win, but I didn't think he'd lose every battleground state, but one (and pending Florida).  I also didn't think Romney would lose the popular vote by 2 million votes (at this point).  The two things I think hurt Romney the most were: 1) No Latino support and 2) Opposing the auto bailout.  #2 was a one time occurrence for the GOP, but #1 is a huge problem for them.

Here's to avoiding the fiscal cliff.  Cheers!

Sunday, November 04, 2012

281 - 257

My final best case prediction for Governor Romney is that he still loses to President Obama.  I think it likely that Governor Romney loses CO and VA as well, which would result in a 303-235 victory for President Obama.

Governor Romney will likely win the popular vote.  From a % standpoint, if President Obama wins 303-235, but loses the popular vote, it still wouldn't be the largest electoral college margin of victory (13%) for a candidate that lost the popular vote.  That honor belongs to William Henry Harrison (16%).

Friday, November 02, 2012

2012 Vote

I voted for Mitt Romney on Monday.  In 2008, I voted for President Obama.  I like many of the things that the President has done, including moving the country further along the healthcare continuum towards Universal Health Care, which I support (with private options for those that want additional/better care).  The President's foreign policy has been excellent.  Of course there are many things I disagree with the President on, but for the most part, I think he has done a pretty good job.

I voted for Mitt Romney on the basis of my faith.  We share a faith that I believe he represents well.  My faith is the most important thing in my life.  Having a person of my faith in the role of President would enable more to come to a better knowledge and understanding of my faith.  I think that spreading the good news is what God wants and I believe that Mitt Romney becoming President would be a great tool in the Lord's hands.  I recognize that Mitt wouldn't be an active evangelist, but simply by being in the role, he would be a passive evangelist and I think that would be a good thing.

Do I agree with everything or most of what Mitt Romney and the Republican Party have campaigned on?  No.  In fact, I think the Republican Party platform is one that would continue the increase in inequality within the United States, which I find abhorrent.  However, I think that if Mitt Romney became President that he would discard most of the extreme views of the right and would be a very moderate President.  That's something I find politically palatable.