Montcabrer, Cabrales, Ubriacone, Wynendale, Strachitunt, and Grayson
Sunday, November 04, 2012
281 - 257
My final best case prediction for Governor Romney is that he still loses to President Obama. I think it likely that Governor Romney loses CO and VA as well, which would result in a 303-235 victory for President Obama.
Governor Romney will likely win the popular vote. From a % standpoint, if President Obama wins 303-235, but loses the popular vote, it still wouldn't be the largest electoral college margin of victory (13%) for a candidate that lost the popular vote. That honor belongs to William Henry Harrison (16%).