Sunday, November 04, 2012

281 - 257

My final best case prediction for Governor Romney is that he still loses to President Obama.  I think it likely that Governor Romney loses CO and VA as well, which would result in a 303-235 victory for President Obama.

Governor Romney will likely win the popular vote.  From a % standpoint, if President Obama wins 303-235, but loses the popular vote, it still wouldn't be the largest electoral college margin of victory (13%) for a candidate that lost the popular vote.  That honor belongs to William Henry Harrison (16%).

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